Tipsarevic ousts Roddick in second round at U.S. Open

Tennis Betting Lines

09/02/2010 - Flushing Meadows, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - American Andy Roddick suffered one of his earliest exits at the U.S. Open, falling to Serbian Janko Tipsarevic in four sets in a second-round encounter Wednesday night.

The ninth-seeded Roddick, who is the last American man to win a Grand Slam singles title by capturing the U.S. Open in 2003, had reached at least the third round each of the last four years. But on Wednesday night on Arthur Ashe Stadium, Tipsarevic had all the answers by beating Roddick thanks to a fabulous serve.

Tipsarevic, whose best result at a Grand Slam is the round of 16 at Wimbledon in 2007, captured a 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, 7-6 (7-4) victory. Tipsarevic fired 16 aces, one less than his opponent. The Serbian also had 66 winners.

Despite struggling with balky ankles during the match, Tipsarevic was able to use strong net play to top Roddick in the tiebreaker. He scored a mini-break for a 3-2 lead when Roddick hit a return long. Later, on match point, Tipsarevic added a net winner to finish the battle at the stroke of midnight. It's the best result for Tipsarevic at the U.S. Open in this his seventh time playing in Flushing Meadows.

"I was playing really well, serving really well, trying not to finish the point too early, just finding my momentum in the right game," Tipsarevic said.

Because of Roddick's exit, the only ex-champion still in the field is Roger Federer. The second-seeded Federer, the champion here from 2004-08 plays his second-round match against Germany's Andreas Beck on Thursday. Roddick was the runner-up to Federer in 2006.

Former runner-up Andy Murray was an easy opening-round winner Wednesday on a hot day at the Open. The fourth-seeded Murray mauled helpless Slovakian Lukas Lacko 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 in 1 hour, 51 minutes on yet another scorching day in the Big Apple. The British star doused Lacko with the help of six service breaks in the predictable encounter at Ashe Stadium, where the on-court temperature soared over 100 degrees for a third straight day.

"It was good," Murray said of his opener. "It wasn't necessarily the best tennis, but tricky conditions out there. It was very windy on the court. It was a guy I've never played against on the tour. I haven't really seen much of him play, so took a little time to get used to his game. But I did enough to win in straight sets, and that was the most important thing."

Murray was the 2008 U.S. Open runner-up to Swiss icon Federer and also lost to Federer in this year's Australian Open title tilt.

Up next for Murray will be rising 6-foot-5 Jamaican Dustin Brown.

In another second-round encounter, 17th-seeded Gael Monfils topped Igor Andreev, 6-3, 6-4, 6-3.

An eye-catching upset came when tough French lefthander Michael Llodra ousted seventh-seeded Wimbledon runner-up Tomas Berdych 7-6 (7-3), 6-4, 6-4 in 2 hours, 26 minutes. Llodra required a trainer to work on his foot during the second set, but the Frenchman returned to the court, unfazed by the ailment.

The stunned Berdych was unable to break Llodra's quality serve on Day 3.

The 6-foot-5 Berdych reached the semifinals at the French Open back in June and landed in his first career Grand Slam final at the All England Club in July, losing to world No. 1 superstar Rafael Nadal. The big Czech had been 11-2 in his previous 13 Grand Slam matches.

American teenager Ryan Harrison, making his U.S. Open debut, upset 15th-seeded former top-five star Ivan Ljubicic 6-3, 6-7 (4-7), 6-3, 6-4, while 20th-seeded American Sam Querrey got past NCAA champion and fellow American Bradley Klahn 6-3, 4-6, 7-5, 6-4. Ljubicic, a Masters event champion at Indian Wells earlier this season, struggled against the intense heat and the 18-year-old Harrison. Querrey is a four-time champion on the ATP World Tour this year.

Russian Mikhail Youzhny, the 12th seed, blew past Andrey Golubev of Kazakhstan, 6-2, 6-3, 6-3. Fourteenth-seeded Spaniard Nicolas Almagro came from behind to best Italian Potito Starace, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4, 7-6 (7-5), while No. 18 seed John Isner of the U.S. upended Frederico Gil of Portugal, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4.

Also, 25th-seeded Swiss Stanislas Wawrinka waltzed past Kazakhstan's Mikhail Kukushkin 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Germany's Philipp Kohlschreiber, the 29th seed, defeated fellow countryman Tobias Kamke, 6-2, 4-6, 6-2, 6-4.

Additional opening-round wins came for the aforementioned Brown, Frenchman Gilles Simon, Ukrainian Sergiy Stakhovsky, Argentine Juan Ignacio Chela, Israel's Dudi Sela, Switzerland's Marco Chiudinelli, Romanian Victor Hanescu and Spaniards Marcel Granollers and Guillermo Garcia-Lopez. The hot Stakhovsky, who topped Aussie Peter Luczak in four sets on Wednesday, is fresh off his hardcourt title in New Haven last week.

The 2010 U.S. Open titlist will claim at least $1.7 million.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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